人工智能AI5章不确定性推理讲课.pptVIP

解：由已知知识得到的推理网络如下图所示。 5.4.1 DS理论的形式描述 1. 概率分配函数（1/5） (1) 求CER(A) 由r1: CER(E1 AND E2) =min{CER(E1), CER(E2)} =min{0.8, 0.6} = 0.6 m({a1}, {a2})={0.6×0.3, 0.6×0.5} = {0.18, 0.3} Bel(A)=m({a1})+m({a2})=0.18+0.3=0.48 Pl(A)=1-Bel(﹁A)=1-0=1 f(A)=Bel(A)+|A|/|Ω|?[Pl(A)-Bel(A)] =0.48+2/10*[1-0.48] =0.584 故 CER(A)=MD(A/E)×f(A)=0.584 求正交和m=m1⊕m2 K=m1(Ω)×m2(Ω) +m1({h1})×m2({h1})+m1({h1})×m2(Ω)+m1(Ω)×m2({h1}) +m1({h2})×m2({h2})+m1({h2})×m2(Ω)+m1(Ω)×m2({h2}) =0.46×0.6