民营经济发展与区域经济发展的实证分析.docVIP

南京财经大学本科毕业论文（设计） PAGE PAGE 16 南京财经大学本科毕业论文（设计） 目 录 中文摘要……………………………………………………………………1 英文摘要……………………………………………………………………1 一、引言……………………………………………………………………3 二、理论解释………………………………………………………………3 （一）关于民营经济…………………………………………………3 （二）关于区域经济…………………………………………………4 （三）民营经济与经济增长关系的经济学理论……………………5 三、文献回顾………………………………………………………………5 （一）国外研究成果…………………………………………………6 （二）国内研究成果…………………………………………………6 四、以江苏省及浙江省为例的实证分析…………………………………7 （一）江苏省及浙江省民营经济发展情况（2007）………………7 （二）数据来源与变量选择…………………………………………8 （三）ADF 单位根检验………………………………………………9 （四）协整关系检验和回归模型建立………………………………10 （五）格兰杰因果检验………………………………………………12 （六）结论……………………………………………………………13 五、建议……………………………………………………………………14 参考文献……………………………………………………………………16 民营经济发展与区域经济发展的实证分析 以苏浙为例 摘要: 改革开放30年，民营经济从无到有、从小到大、从弱到强，走到如今光辉的局面。作为区域最具活力的增长极，民营经济在增加国民生产总值，缓解就业压力，促进利税提高等方面发挥了不可替代的作用 。文章对民营经济的概念进行了界定，基于1990年—2007年江苏浙江两省省的时间序列数据，利用协整分析和格兰杰因果检验的实证分析和计量检验方法，得出民营经济与区域经济增长之间存在长期稳定的关系和格兰杰因果关系最，后在得出结论的基础上提出了建议。 关键词: 民营经济，经济增长，协整分析，格兰杰因果检验，误差修正模型 Abstract: During reform and open policy 30 years, the Economy of our country is from none to being, its scale is from small to big, it can have this glary complexion. It plays the important role of increasing Gross National product mitigating the obtaining employment’s press, the elevating the benefit and tax, and so on. The Non-State-Owned Economy a internal, organic part of Social Democracy Market Economy, isn’t a appendant or eye winker out of Social Democracy Market Economy. tax, and so on. This thesis defines the concept of The-Non-State-Owned Economy in China and comes to a conclusion that there is a long-term stable relationship and existing Granger Causality between the-Non-State-Owned Economy and economic growth according to both co-integration analysis and Granger-causality test, by using time sequential data from statistical data (1990--2007) of Jiangsu and zhejiang province. At last, summarizing and some suggestions on how to utilizing foreign capital are given on the basis of the analysis result. Keyword: The-Non-State-Owned Economy, Ec