不连沟煤矿充水水源水化学特征分析及突水水源判别模型研究.docxVIP

不连沟煤矿充水水源水化学特征分析及突水水源判别模型研究郭瑞（内蒙古蒙泰不连沟煤业有限责任公司）摘要：在大量水化学资料的基础上，对不连沟煤矿地下水水化学特征进行了分析与研究。为了快速有效的判别矿井突水水源，采用Fisher判别分析方法建立了突水水源判别模型，首先使用训练样本进行了回判，回判准确率达到96%，然后使用判别模型对F6206工作面掘进巷道掘进过程中突（涌）水水源进行判别，判别准确率达到了90%。此次所建立的模型为不连沟煤矿突水水源判别提供了一种行之有效的方法。关键字：不连沟煤矿；水化学特征；水源判别；Fisher判别分析Analysis of the hydrochemical characteristics of fiooding water source and researchof discriminant model of water inrush water of Buliangou coal mineGuo RuiInner mongokia mengtai buliangou coal industry CO.,LTD.Abstract：Based on a large amount of hydrochemical data, the chemical characteristics of groundwater of Bulian ditch coal mine were analyzed and studied. In order to determine mine water-inrush water sources rapidly and effectively, the water-inrush water source discrimination model was established by Fisher discriminant analysis method. First, the training samples were used to carry out returned discrimination and the accuracy was 96%. Then, the discrimination model was used to discriminate the water-inrush water sources in the tunnel of excavation process of F6206 working surface and the discrimination accuracy is 90%. The model established here provides an effective method for the identification of water-inrush water source of Bulian ditch coal mine.Key words：buliangou coal mine；hydrochemicalcharacteristics；identification of water source；Fisher discriminant analysis0 引言水害作为煤矿开采五大灾害之一，一直是制约我国煤矿可持续发展的重要难题[1]。井工矿井一旦发生突水，轻则影响生产作业，重则直接造成人员伤亡，导致矿井关闭[2]。不连沟煤矿位于准格尔煤田北部，传统以为，本区属于西北干旱区，煤矿开采不受水害威胁，而从区内近年勘探及矿井采掘涌（突）水情况可以看出，本区断裂构造及陷落柱发育，煤层底板奥陶系灰岩含水层补给充沛，奥陶系灰岩水对区内矿井安全开采有极大的威胁。为有效预防矿井突水事故发生，关键是要快速判别突（涌）水水源。水化学分析可第一时间确定突水水源，为矿井及时采取防治措施提供依据。1 矿井开采水文地质条件不连沟煤矿主采石炭系太原组6#和9#煤。6#煤可采厚度2.50～35.50m，平均15.18m，9#煤可采厚度0.85～10.90m，平均4.16m。矿井开采充水水源主要有地表水及地下水，地表水主要为大气降水及季节性河流水，地下水主要包括煤系地层砂岩含水层水和奥陶系灰岩含水层水。6#煤覆岩厚度142.90～412.50m。9#煤覆岩厚度166.55～441.10m。煤层上覆含水层富水性弱，水位标高+870.310～984.070m，渗透系数0.0489～0.0577m/d。6#煤底板承受灰岩水压为0～0.52 MPa，9#煤底板承受灰岩水压为0～0.67MPa。6#煤距奥陶系灰岩顶界面距离为36.25～74.99m，平均53.04m，9#煤距奥陶系灰岩顶界面距离为17.35～38.75m，平均27.87m。6#煤和9#都设