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Probability and Statistics with Reliability, Queuing and Computer Science Applications: Introduction Kishor S. Trivedi Visiting Prof. Of Computer Science and Engineering, IITK Prof. Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering Duke University Durham, NC 27708-0291 Phone: 7576 e-mail: kst@ URL: /~kst Outline Introduction Reliability, Availability, Security, Performance, Performability Methods of Evaluation Evaluation Vs. Optimization Model construction, parameterization,solution,validation, interpretation Preliminaries: Sample Space, Probability Axioms, Independence, Conditioning, Binomial Trials Random Variables: Binomial, Poisson, Exponential, Weibull, Erlang, Hyperexponential, Hypoexponential, Pareto, Defective Reliability, Hazard Rate Average Case Analysis of Program Performance Reliability Analysis Using Block Diagrams and Fault Trees Reliability of Standby Systems Statistical Inference Including Confidence Intervals Hypothesis Testing Regression Schedule Textbooks Schedule: Jan 21, 23, 28 and Feb 6, 18, 25, 27 Probability Statistics with reliability, queuing, and computer science applications, K. S. Trivedi, second edition, John Wiley Sons, 2001. Performance and reliability analysis of computer systems: An Example-Based Approach Using the SHARPE Software Package, Sahner, Trivedi, Puliafito, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1996. Program Performance Evaluation Worst-case vs. Average case analysis Data-structure-oriented vs. Control structure-oriented Sequential vs. Concurrent Centralized vs. Distributed Structured vs. with unrestricted transfer of control Unlimited (hardware) resources vs. limited resources Software architecture: modules, their characteristics (execution time) and interactions (branching, looping) Measures: completion time (mean, variance dist.) Measurements or Models (simulation vs. analytic) analytic models: combinatorial, DTMC, SMP, CTMC, SPN System Performance Evaluation Workload: traffic arrivals, service
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