独立子树等效时变可用度分析.pdf

DOI :10.13700/j.bh.1001 -5965.2004.12.001 2004 12 December　2004 　30 12 Jo rnal of Beijing University of Aerona tics and Astrona tics Vol.30　No.12 王少萍　　陶建峰　　崔明山　　焦宗夏 ( , 100083) 　　　　　:在复杂系统可用度分析中, 采用深度和广度遍历算法 复杂动态 故障树分解为独立子树, 推导和证明了独立子树等效时变可用度参数模型, 建立了各 独立子树同构的马尔可夫状态转移链.通过求解降维微分方程获得故障子树的时变 可用度参数, 采用由下至上的递归处理算法快速实现复杂系统的可用性定量分析, 既 解决了复杂系统可用度计算的“组合爆炸”问题, 又通过考虑时变参数保证了可用度 解算的精度.实例分析表明, 采用独立子树等效时变可用度分析方法在有效的分解 下, 其误差可以很小. 　　:独立子树;等效可用度参数;时变可用度模型 :V 241.01 :A 　　　　 :1001-5965(2004)12-1137-05 Equivalent time-variable availability analysis based on individual sub fault tree Wang Shaoping 　Tao Jianfeng 　C i Mingshan　Jiao Zongxia (School of A tomation Science and Electrical Engineering, Beijing University of Aerona tics and Astrona tics, Beijing 100083, China) Abstract :With depth-first left-most ergonic algorithm, the complex dynamic fa lt tree can be decomposed into several ISFT (individ al s b fa lt tree )in availability analysis of complex system.In order to calc late its avail- ability in time-variable filed, the eq ivalent time-variable availability parameters are presented and proved to ISFT. Transferring ISFT into corresponding Markov chain, the differential eq ation of s b-Markov chain in falling dimen- sion can be calc lated with time-variable availability parameters easily.From bottom to p, the availability analysis for complex system can be realized with rec rsion algorithm, which not only solve the problem that the comp ting enhances exponential with the n mber of states increases in availability calc lation of complex system b t also im- prove the calc lation precisionwith time-variable parameters.Application indicates that the eq ivalent time-variable availability analysis based on ISFT is content