农业旱灾对国家粮食安全影响程度的定量分析-自然灾害学报.PDF

19 3 Vo.l 19 No. 3 2010 6 JOURNAL OF NATURAL DISASTERS Jun. 2010 : 1004- 45 4( 2010) 03- 0111- 08 1 1, 2 2 李文娟 , 覃志豪 , 林 绿 ( 1. , 100081; 2. , 210093) 2 : 10 1 0~ 200 hm , , , , , 10, , , , 1990 - 2005 13. 8% , 2600 t, 8% ; 6000, , , , : ; ; ; : S423 : A Quantitative analy sis of agro-drought im pact on food secu rity in Ch ina 1 1, 2 2 LIW en-juan , Q IN Zh-i hao , LIN L u ( 1. Institute of Agro-resources and Reg iona lP lanning, Chinese Academy ofAgricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China; 2. International Institute for E arth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China) Abs tract: Agro-drought in China is very severe. In recent decade Ch ina. s cropping land under drought attacks at 2 various levelsw as annually 1. ) 2. 0 m illion hm . Econom ic loss as a resu lt of drought was enormous. D rought had been listed as the most serious natural d isaster threatening food security in China. How ever, quantitative analysis of the mi pact of agro-drought on national food security has not been reported. In th is paper amodel was developed for quantification of agro-drought intensity and its relationshipw ith food security. Using themodelwe analysed the spatial and temporal variations of agro-drought mi pact on food security in recent decade in China. Our analysis i