淮河流域河流水环境可恢复性评价-河海期刊.pdf

第30卷第3期 水摇 资摇 源摇 保摇 护 2014年5月 Vol.30 No.3 WATER RESOURCES PROTECTION May2014 DOI:10.3969/ j.issn.1004 6933.2014.03.010 淮河流域河流水环境可恢复性评价 肖摇 洋,张摇 翔,周秋红,朱才荣 (武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室,湖北 武汉摇 430072) 摘要:针对水环境可持续利用中存在的水环境特征识别问题,开展水环境可恢复性研究。 基于水环 境可恢复性的定义及水环境可恢复性评价指标体系,选取其中12 个指标,采用淮河流域2000— 2009年10年数据资料,利用主成分分析法(PCA)得到影响淮河流域水环境可恢复性的主要成分 和各年的综合主成分值随时间变化情况;将水环境系统可恢复性分为弱、一般、强3 个等级,利用自 组织映射(SOM)神经网络法对归一化的正向样本数据进行分析,得到各年水环境系统可恢复性的 强弱等级情况。 结果表明,由PCA 法得到的结果与SOM 神经网络法的结果相一致,淮河流域从 2000—2009年水环境可恢复性整体上呈现逐年增强的趋势,同时表明PCA和 SOM神经网络法对 水环境可恢复性评价是可行的。 关键词:水环境;可恢复性;主成分分析法;自组织映射神经网络法;淮河流域 中图分类号:TV11摇 摇 摇 文献标志码:A摇 摇 摇 文章编号:1004 6933(2014)03 0050 06 Evaluation of river water environmental resilience in Huaihe River Basin XIAO Yang,ZHANG Xiang,ZHOU Qiuhong,ZHU Cairong (State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University,Wuhan430072,China) Abstract:Inorderto identify thecharacteristicsof thewater environment intheprocessof sustainableutilizationof water resources,a study of water environmental resilience was carried out. Based on the definition and evaluation index system of water environmental resilience,12 indices of the evaluation index system were selected,ten鄄year data of the Huaihe River Basin from 2000 to 2009 were collected,and principal component analysis (PCA) was used to obtain the main components influencing the water environmental resilience of the Huaihe River Basin and the yearly comprehensive principal component value varying with time. The water environmental resilience was classified intothreelevels:theweak,medium,andstronglevels. Then,theself鄄organizedmapping (SOM)neural network methodwasusedto analyzethe standard sampledata