岩切一宏，干场充之，大竹和生.PDFVIP

験震時報第 7 5 巻 （2012）25 ～36 頁 近距離に注目した既往の距離減衰式の検討 ―緊急地震速報の震度予測への適用性評価― Study on Attenuation Relationships Focused on Small Hypocentral Distances -Evaluation of their applicability to Earthquake Early Warnings- 1 2 1 岩切一宏 ，干場充之 ，大竹和生 1 2 1 Kazuhiro IWAKIRI , Mitsuyuki HOSHIBA and Kazuo OHTAKE (Received October 22, 2010: Accepted January 14, 2011) ABSTRACT: In the current Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) system of the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), predictions of seismic intensity are based on attenuation relationships for peak ground velocity (PGV). This prediction method uses some empirical relationships such as conversion from JMA magnitude (Mj) to moment magnitude (Mw) and conversion from PGV to seismic intensity. Therefore, predicted seismic intensities contain the uncertainties of the empirical relationships. Using an attenuation relationship for seismic intensity with Mj as a parameter would most likely improve the accuracy of seismic intensity predictions, as these two empirical relationships are not used. We evaluate the applicability of the attenuation relationship for seismic intensity to the prediction of small hypocentral distances by comparing it with the current EEW method. For areas within about 30 km of the source region of M6 or larger earthquakes, the seismic intensities predicted by the attenuation relationship for seismic intensity have the same accuracy as