25.1概率（25.1 probability）.docVIP

25.1概率（25.1 probability） The probability of Ⅰ method guidance This section is mainly to study the significance of random events and probability, its purpose is to understand: some of the event is bound to happen, some events are never happened, but this is not what we want to learn, we have to study focuses on the occurrence of some event or not we are unable to determine in advance, or random events. At the same time, the probability of the event is obtained on the basis of many experiments. For a few trials, it may not be satisfied, and the greater the probability, the greater the probability of occurrence. Ⅱ thinking integration Analytical focus 1. Random events Our study of random events, the key lies in its uncertainty, is unable to determine the likelihood of occurrence, whether an event to a random event, is that it is possible, also have may not happen, In the following events, the random event is () A. If A and b are rational, then ab = ba B. a telephone has received 35 calls in 60 seconds C. there is no water, and the seeds germinate People will die eventually In the analytic option, A is the commutative law of rational multiplication. When A and b are rational, ab = ba is certain, so A is bound to happen; And choice B is likely to happen, and it may not happen, so B meets the conditions and is a random event; Option C, the seed will not germinate when there is no moisture, so this is an event that will not occur; Choice D is an event that is bound to happen. Solution B In this case, the analysis of the options is mainly to pay attention to the possibility of the occurrence of the event and only meet the requirements when it is not possible to determine whether it occurred. In the following events, what is certain to happen is () A. | A | 0 B. If a B, B c is a c C. there is water and life on the moon There must be a lot of snow in Beijing this winter When A = 0, | A | = 0, so the events in option A may or may not happen. Choice B is the basic property