灰色预测1.docxVIP

代码：%下面程序是灰色模型GM(1,1)程序二次拟合和等维新陈代谢改进预测程序,matlab6.5 ,使用本程序请注明，程序存储为gm1.m%x = [5999,5903,5848,5700,7884];gm1(x); 测试数据 %二次拟合预测GM(1,1)模型function gmcal=gm1(x)sizexd2 = size(x,2);%求数组长度k=0;for y1=x k=k+1; if k1 x1(k)=x1(k-1)+x(k); %累加生成 z1(k-1)=-0.5*(x1(k)+x1(k-1)); %z1维数减1，用于计算B yn1(k-1)=x(k); else x1(k)=x(k); endend%x1,z1,k,yn1sizez1=size(z1,2);%size(yn1);z2 = z1;z3 = ones(1,sizez1);YN = yn1; %转置%YNB=[z2 z3];au0=inv(B*B)*B*YN;au = au0;%B,au0,auafor = au(1);ufor = au(2);ua = au(2)./au(1);%afor,ufor,ua %输出预测的 a u 和 u/a的值constant1 = x(1)-ua;afor1 = -afor;x1t1 = x1(t+1);estr = exp;tstr = t;leftbra = (;rightbra = );%constant1,afor1,x1t1,estr,tstr,leftbra,rightbrastrcat(x1t1,=,num2str(constant1),estr,leftbra,num2str(afor1),tstr,rightbra,+,leftbra,num2str(ua),rightbra)%输出时间响应方程%******************************************************%二次拟合k2 = 0;for y2 = x1 k2 = k2 + 1; if k2 k else ze1(k2) = exp(-(k2-1)*afor); endend%ze1sizeze1 = size(ze1,2);z4 = ones(1,sizeze1);G=[ze1 z4];X1 = x1;au20=inv(G*G)*G*X1;au2 = au20;%z4,X1,G,au20Aval = au2(1);Bval = au2(2);%Aval,Bval%输出预测的 A,B的值strcat(x1t1,=,num2str(Aval),estr,leftbra,num2str(afor1),tstr,rightbra,+,leftbra,num2str(Bval),rightbra)%输出时间响应方程nfinal = sizexd2-1 + 1;%决定预测的步骤数5 这个步骤可以通过函数传入%nfinal = sizexd2 - 1 + 1;%预测的步骤数 1for k3=1:nfinal x3fcast(k3) = constant1*exp(afor1*k3)+ua;end%x3fcast%一次拟合累加值for k31=nfinal:-1:0 if k311 x31fcast(k31+1) = x3fcast(k31)-x3fcast(k31-1); else if k310 x31fcast(k31+1) = x3fcast(k31)-x(1); else x31fcast(k31+1) = x(1); end endendx31fcast%一次拟合预测值for k4=1:nfinal x4fcast(k4) = Aval*exp(afor1*k4)+Bval;end%x4fcastfor k41=nfinal:-1:0 if k411 x41fcast(k41+1) = x4fcast(k41)-x4fcast(k41-1); else if k410 x41fcast(k41+1) = x4fcast(k41)-x(1); else x41fcast(k41+1) = x(1); end endendx41fcast,x%二次拟合预测值%***精度检验p C**