山东省畜禽养殖温室气体排放时空格局分析3600(修改后,秋后的劲草).docVIP

山东省畜禽养殖温室气体排放时空格局分析 陈守越1,王 梁， ， 276000 ；ariation and impact factor of estimation of livestock greenhouse gases discharge in Shandong Province CHEN Shou-yue1,WANG Liang1, College of Resources and Environment, Linyi University, Linyi 276000,) Abstract: Global warming has?affected peoples lives.?the situation?of greenhouse gas emissions?has become?a pressing matter of the moment?to understand?our?greenhouse gases.?Livestock account for a large proportion in?greenhouse gases.?Shandong province is a large province. Proven Shandong poultry?greenhouse gas emissions?and the trend?is particularly important. The study?on the?Intergovernmental?Panel on climate change?(IPCC,?2006)?released the latest?animal?based?greenhouse gas?emission coefficient and?calculation?method,?with the actual development of?animal husbandry in Shandong,?estimates the?development?trend of annual?emissions?of each city in Shandong province?2003-2012?years?of livestock greenhouse gas?and Shandong?2003-2012?years?of livestock?greenhouse gas emissions and?prediction of?future. Study results showed that annual average greenhouse gas emissions is 742.0485 Gg·a-1, the methane average annual emissions is 691.2924Gg·a-1 and nitrogen oxide in flat sqxz were emission amount and A-1 50.7561Gg.a-1，Luzhong and Jiaodong Peninsula emission?fewer?greenhouse gas;?Luxi emission the?more?greenhouse gas, it should?focus on governance;??emissions of greenhouse gases?is substantially?decreased at first and then?increased form 2003 to 2012.?greenhouse gas emissions?associated with?the amount of?livestock and poultry breeding?in?Shandong province;?prediction of future?greenhouse gas emissions?will be?increased Key word: Livestock; greenhouse gases（GHG）; emission factors; prediction 1 引言 现今，已经成为热点问题的全球变暖议题日益引起了人们的持续关注，引致世界性的温度变化的重点成因， 是当今逐年出现的温室气体浓度的增加 ,关于研究温室气体问题呈现出屡见不鲜的趋势。 IPCC第四次评估[1]报告指出：当前尤其是显现出温度的升高此类的对于世界上的较多的自然生态系统产生着影响的世界气候区域性的变化。 对世界生态体系产生着的多样化作用的气候变化，特别是因为增加温室气体排放的这一人为原因致使的或许对较多生态自然系统与生态非自然系统形成的影响[2]。 作为构成温