- 1、本文档共12页,可阅读全部内容。
- 2、原创力文档(book118)网站文档一经付费(服务费),不意味着购买了该文档的版权,仅供个人/单位学习、研究之用,不得用于商业用途,未经授权,严禁复制、发行、汇编、翻译或者网络传播等,侵权必究。
- 3、本站所有内容均由合作方或网友上传,本站不对文档的完整性、权威性及其观点立场正确性做任何保证或承诺!文档内容仅供研究参考,付费前请自行鉴别。如您付费,意味着您自己接受本站规则且自行承担风险,本站不退款、不进行额外附加服务;查看《如何避免下载的几个坑》。如果您已付费下载过本站文档,您可以点击 这里二次下载。
- 4、如文档侵犯商业秘密、侵犯著作权、侵犯人身权等,请点击“版权申诉”(推荐),也可以打举报电话:400-050-0827(电话支持时间:9:00-18:30)。
查看更多
Practical Use of Monte Carlo Simulation for Risk ...(实际使用蒙特卡罗模拟的风险)
th
Grauber, Schmidt Proske: Proceedings of the 6 International Probabilistic Workshop, Darmstadt 2008
Practical Use of Monte Carlo Simulation for Risk
Management within the
International Construction Industry
Dr.-Ing. Tilo Nemuth
Bilfinger Berger Nigeria GmbH, Wiesbaden
Abstract: A multiple of German contractors endeavor to develop new business segments
in the international market as a result of the regressive construction activity in Germany
since 1995, coupled with the high stress of competition in the domestic German market.
Furthermore the Corporate Sector Supervision and Transparency Act (KonTraG) - opera-
tive since 1998 - demands the installation of an efficient risk management system for capi-
tal companies. Albeit shortages in the case of risk management are identifiable in the
German construction industry, this situation is the initial position for an
implementation of a risk analysis tool for construction project evaluation in the tender
phase based on Monte Carlo Simulation. The result and conclusion is a contribution for the
risk management of an international contractor based on project risk assessment. Risks for
international construction projects are shown on a practical point of view and action alter-
natives will be discussed.
1
A typical publication for the 6th International Probabilistic Workshop
1 Introduction
1.1 Theoretic Model of Risk Management Circle
The theoretical deduction in the risk management circle and these phases show, that risks
are in principle controllable and assessable. A risk identificatio
您可能关注的文档
- Physical Education Learning Activity Types(体育学习活动类型).pdf
- Physical Inventory Guidelines - Stanford University(盘点指南斯坦福大学).pdf
- Physical Inventory Procedure - psdealer(盘点过程psdealer).pdf
- physics VELOCITY, ACCELERATION, FORCE velocity(物理速度、加速度、力的速度).pdf
- Piaget's Stages of Cognitive Development (皮亚杰的认知发展阶段).pdf
- Piaget’s Theory of Development - iiNet(皮亚杰的发展iiNet理论).pdf
- PIANO METHOD BOOK 1 - Hal Leonard (钢琴的方法书1 -哈尔伦纳德).pdf
- PID (Piping and Instrumentation Diagram) and (PID(管道和仪表图)和).pdf
- Pipe Pile - L.B. Foster Sheet Pile and Piling (钢管桩-第2培养板桩和桩).pdf
- Piperine inhibits cytokine production by human (胡椒碱能抑制细胞因子生产由人类).pdf
- 《JJF 2132-2024荧光紫外灯人工气候老化试验装置校准规范:辐射照度参数》.pdf
- JJF 2120-2024轮速传感器校准规范.pdf
- 计量规程规范 JJF 2120-2024轮速传感器校准规范.pdf
- 《JJF 2129-2024钙钛矿太阳电池校准规范:光电性能参数》.pdf
- JJF 2129-2024钙钛矿太阳电池校准规范:光电性能参数.pdf
- 《JJF 2120-2024轮速传感器校准规范》.pdf
- JJF 2117-2024沥青混合料理论最大相对密度仪校准规范.pdf
- JJF 2116-2024特定蛋白分析仪校准规范.pdf
- 《JJF 2116-2024特定蛋白分析仪校准规范》.pdf
- 计量规程规范 JJF 2117-2024沥青混合料理论最大相对密度仪校准规范.pdf
文档评论(0)