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Probabilistic Alert Correlation College of (概率预警相关的学院)
Probabilistic Alert Correlation
Alfonso Valdes and Keith Skinner
SRI International
{valdes, skinner}@
Abstract. With the growing deployment of host and network intrusion detection systems, managing
reports from these systems becomes critically important. We present a probabilistic approach to alert
correlation, extending ideas from multisensor data fusion. Features used for alert correlation are based
on alert content that anticipates evolving IETF standards. The probabilistic approach provides a unified
mathematical framework for correlating alerts that match closely but not perfectly, where the minimum
degree of match required to fuse alerts is controlled by a single configurable parameter. Only features
in common are considered in the fusion algorithm. For each feature we define an appropriate similarity
function. The overall similarity is weighted by a specifiable expectation of similarity. In addition, a
minimum similarity may be specified for some or all features. Features in this set must match at least
as well as the minimum similarity specification in order to combine alerts, regardless of the goodness of
match on the feature set as a whole. Our approach correlates attacks over time, correlates reports from
heterogeneous sensors, and correlates multiple attack steps.
Keywords: Network security, sensor correlation, alert management, adaptive systems
Acknowledgement. This research is sponsored by DARPA under contract numbers F30602-99-C-0149
and N66001-00-C-8058. The views herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily
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