Simulation of urban growth using a cellular automata-based model in英文教材.pdfVIP

Simulation of urban growth using a cellular automata-based model in a developing nation’s region ∗a,b b a,b b a,b Changlin YIN , Dingquan YU , Honghui ZHANG , Shengjing YOU , Guanghui CHEN aSchool of Info-Physics and Geomatics Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China; bChangsha Planning Information Service Center, Changsha 410013, China ABSTRACT Cellular automata （CA ） modeling is one of the recent advances in spatial–temporal modeling techniques to the field of urban growth dynamics. A number of CA-based models of urban growth have produced satisfactory simulations of spatial urban expansion over time. The paper explained the parameters, transformation and calibration of the SLEUTH model-one specific format of the cellular automation model, on the base of which the process of urban growth of changsha city between the year 1996 and 2005 is rebuilt. Moreover the spatial morphology of Changsha city in 2015 and 2030 is separately predicted with the method of scenario simulation. The results of analysis and simulations indicate that application of the SLEUTH model to simulation of urban growth is advisable and the accuracy of simulation is acceptable. Key word: Cellular automata; Urban growth simulation; SLEUTH model; Changsha City 1. Introduction Cellular automata (CA) which is brought forward by Ulam in 1940s is generally used in the evolvement process of self- organized system. Cellular automata is a kind of “bottem-up” study methods, i.e., individual simple activity may lead to complicated system of global ord