1、简述德尔菲法的概念和步骤。（1, a brief description of Delphy Fas concepts and procedures.）.docVIP

1、简述德尔菲法的概念和步骤。（1, a brief description of Delphy Fas concepts and procedures.） 1, a brief description of Delphy Fas concepts and procedures. Answer: Delphy said the expert investigation method, it is based on the system of the program, an anonymous comment, that experts may not discuss with each other, not horizontal contact, contact only with investigators, through multiple rounds of expert questionnaire survey questions, after repeated consultation, induction, revision, the final summary a basic consensus of the experts, as the prediction results. This method is widely representative and reliable. Delphy Fas implementation steps: The first step: draw up the decision outline. Is the first to determine the decision objectives, such as the design of the experts should answer questions questionnaire; to determine the basis of judgment and the extent of the impact of the explanation; to make an estimate of the degree of familiarity with decision-making issues. The second step: the choice of experts. Thats the key to Delphy Fa. The chosen expert usually refers to an expert who has a reputation or has been engaged in the work for decades. The third step: Forecasting and decision making. A letter or please talk to individual requirements, each group of experts put forward their own opinions and decision-making basis, and indicate whether the need for additional information. The fourth step: modify the decision. The organizers of the decision make a comprehensive arrangement and induction of the results and materials of the first decision making, and make them orderly and then feed back to the experts concerned, so as to make amendments and make new demands accordingly. The fifth step: determine the decision results. After several times the experts revised the results, according to all information, determine the experts tend to agree on the decision-making opinions. 2, expounds how to implement enterprise strategy. A: once the enterprise strategy has been achieved, in orde