传染病数学模型的建立及稳定性分析(Establishment and stability analysis of mathematical models of infectious diseases).docVIP

传染病数学模型的建立及稳定性分析(Establishment and stability analysis of mathematical models of infectious diseases).doc

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传染病数学模型的建立及稳定性分析(Establishment and stability analysis of mathematical models of infectious diseases)

传染病数学模型的建立及稳定性分析(Establishment and stability analysis of mathematical models of infectious diseases) Journal of Mathematical Medicine 990202 Journal of Mathematical Medicine Journal of Mathematical Medicine 1999 Vol second, phase twelfth Vol.12 No.2 1999 Establishment and stability analysis of mathematical models of infectious diseases Zhangyunquan Based on the general law of disease transmission and population conservation statistics, an epidemic model of two rooms and three rooms was established [1] using the mathematical methods of [2, 3], the qualitative and stability of the infectious diseases model in room two are emphasized And get the ecological meaning under the corresponding circumstances. Keywords stability; trajectory; threshold theorem; 1 prepare knowledge The model of the two and 1.1 compartment divides the urban population into two chambers (sets) of healthy people and infectious patients, and the number of them is recorded respectively: S (T), I (t). The 1.2 compartment model to city population is divided into healthy human S (T), I (T) and infectious patients recovered and immune (including death) of people R (t). We know that diseases generally follow the following rules: Rule 1, in the period under consideration, the population remained at a fixed level N (i.e., S (T), +I (T), +R (T), =N). Rule 2 the rate of change in the number of susceptible S (T) is proportional to the product of the number of I (T) and S (T) in infectious patients. Rule 3, the rate of transition from I (T) to R (T) is proportional to I (t). 2, two compartment model The mathematical model of infectious diseases is not difficult to be derived from the above principles of disease propagation (1) And the initial state is S (0) =S00, I (0) =I00 Among them, constant lambda and alpha are called infection rates and removal rates, and their values are greater than zero. Order sigma = lambda / alpha, 1/ sigma = alpha / lambda is called relative removal rate, and in order to discuss the

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