大连商品交易所-和讯网十大期货研发团队评选（Dalian commodity exchange - the ten largest futures research and development team）.docVIP

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大连商品交易所-和讯网十大期货研发团队评选（Dalian commodity exchange - the ten largest futures research and development team）.doc

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大连商品交易所-和讯网十大期货研发团队评选（Dalian commodity exchange - the ten largest futures research and development team）

大连商品交易所-和讯网十大期货研发团队评选（Dalian commodity exchange - the ten largest futures research and development team） Dalian commodity exchange - the ten largest futures research and development team New beans listed and squeezed subsidies, pressure on the market supply highlights Topix futures Bao Hongbo First, U.S. soybean production is expected to increase by 8%, inventory tensions will be eased According to the USDAs August report, soybean production in the United States will achieve a record of 87 million 70 thousand tons in 09/10, an increase of 6 million 530 thousand tons over 08/09, an increase of 8%. 08/09 annual Argentina soybean production by 30%, resulting in U.S. soybean export demand, so the U.S. soybean ending stocks is only 3 million tons, 2 million 580 thousand tons less than 07/08 year, 09/10 year U.S. soybean production increased significantly, can make up for the new season beginning stocks. Figure 1: soybean production in the United States (unit: 10000 tons) Data sources: USDA, Topix Futures Research Institute Before the new soybean market, soybean stocks tension, lack of supply is one of the important factors supporting market prices, with the new bean market approaching, soybean stocks will get significant relief of tension. According to the U.S. Department of agriculture, the United States 09/10 year ending stocks will reach 5 million 720 thousand tons, an increase of 2 million 720 thousand tons, 07/08 annual maintenance inventory levels, inventory consumption ratio increased significantly, increased production and inventory increase will ease market supply shortage situation. Figure 2: soybean stocks and stock consumption ratio (unit: million tons,%) Data sources: USDA, Topix Futures Research Institute Two, soybean production in China is a foregone conclusion, but new beans continue to increase in the Northern Hemisphere In 2008, the soybean planting income of China was obviously lower than that of corn and paddy, and the enthusiasm of farmer cultivation