基于GLUE方法的植被界面过程模型(VIP)的不确定性分析.PDFVIP

( Chinese Journa l of A grom eteorology) 2010, 31( 4) : 522- 527 do:i 10 3969/ j issn 1000 - 6362 2010 04 007 * GLUE(VIP) 1, 2 1** 1 1, 2 王 昆 , 莫兴国 , 林忠辉 , 舒 畅 ( 1, 10010 1; 2, 1000 39) : , , , , ( V IP) / GLU E ( G eneral ized L ikelihood U ncerta inty Estmi at ion) , , V IP 8 , Vm ax w csat w cfie ld , , 95% , , : GLU E; V IP; ; UncertaintyAnalysisofVegetation InterfaceProcesses (VIP) ModelBased onGLUE 1, 2 1 1 1, 2 WANG Kun , M Xingguo, LIN Zhonghui, SHU Chang ( 1K ey L aboratory ofW ater Cycle and R elated L and Su rface P rocesses, IG SNRR, Chinese A cadem y of Sciences, Be ij ing 100101, Ch ina; 2G radu ate Schoo l of Ch inese A cademy o f Sc iences, Be ij ing 1000 39 ) Abstract: There are m any param eters in the ecosystem m odel The variab ility o f param eters at different sp acetmi e sca les resu lted in uncertainties T he uncerta inty ana lysis of p aram eters cou ld he lp to understand the stru cture o f the m ode l deep ly and mi prove the re liability of the m odel prediction s T he V egetation Interface P rocesses ( V IP) m ode l is an ecohydro logy dynam ic m ode,l w hich inc lu ds energy budget, hydrology cycle, ab sorption and tran sform ation o f car bon and nitrogen in the terrestrial ecosystem In th is pap er, the generalized likelihood uncertainty estmi at ion ( GLUE ) m ethodo logy w as used to analyze the uncertainty of the p aram eters In the V IP m odel, w e chose eight param eters, w hich cam e f