航道系统方案之评估模式.PDFVIP

航 運 季 刊 第 十 四 卷 第 一 期 Maritime Quarterly Vol. 14 No. 1 民國九十四年三月 March 2005 頁 19 〜 頁 41 pp. 19~41 航道系統方案之評估模式1 A Model for Evaluating Draft Solutions of Routing System 林 彬 Bin Lin2 曾承志 Cheng Jr Tzeng 3 摘要 過去三十年來，世界上許多海上交通繁忙的水域相繼規畫航道系統，以增進航 行安全。由於規畫航道系統必須考慮許多因素，各項因素之間又有其關連性，必須 先從不同的安全角度思考，設計出多種候選方案，再從中評選出最後的方案，通常 係由少數規畫者以其經驗作最後之取捨。本文航道系統方案評估模式係以多準則決 策理論為基礎，利用問卷調查的方式決定評估準則，並應用層級分析法建立航道系 統方案評估模式之層級架構與準則權重，再以 TOPSIS法進行方案排序。經過多數使 用者及專家的參與，依此模式所評選的最後方案應是最適當的方案。本文並以高雄 港航道系統方案之評選為例，印證本文所建立之評估模式。 關鍵詞 ：航道系統；層級分析法；海上交通 ABSTRACT During the past thirty years a number of routing systems have been established within congested traffic waters around the world for the increase of navigational safety. Some factors which are related have to concern when a routing system is being designed. Therefore several preferred draft solutions of the system are first introduced from different safety concepts, and then a final solution usually judged by a few designers with their experience is selected. This study uses eclectic methodologies to establish a model for evaluating the draft solutions. Through theories of Multiple Criteria Decision-Making, the study identifies criteria for evaluation by means of a questionnaire, and establishes hierarchy structure of the system to obtain the weight of the criteria by means of Analyt