针对复杂网络的病毒传播的分析研究.pdfVIP

摘 要 目前，关于复杂网络的研究领域越来越广，大量复杂系统都可以抽象成网络形容， 网络上的动力学行为指网络上的系统动态性质，通过研究网络结构来了解和解释基 于这些网络上的系统运作方式，从而预测和控制网络系统的行为。病毒在计算机网 络上的传播、传染病在人群或其他生物中的流行等都可以看作是网络上的传播动力 学行为，通过研究病毒传播动力学行为，有助于控制现实中的病毒传播行为。 针对病毒传播的实际特点，引入复杂网络理论来更好的描述病毒传播特性。提出 了与复杂网络中节点的度成正比的病毒传播率，并根据病毒传播的过程和特性建立 模型。针对此模型，分析了系统的稳定性，得出病毒传播消失与否的条件，并通过 仿真验证了所得结论。 针对现实的病毒传播的一个特性，即节点的传播速度的变化不会严格线性正比于 节点的度的变化，提出分段非线性的病毒传播率，表示节点的度大于临界值后，传 播速度会达到饱和。利用此分段非线性传播率建立模型，通过对系统的分析得到病 毒传播的最终状态，并通过仿真进行了验证。 研究了一类通过载体进行传播的 vector-host 病毒传播，考虑 vector 和 host 两个 群体网络的交叉传播，并分别提出病毒传播率，建立基于复杂网络的 vector-host 病 毒传播模型。分析传播模型的传播临界条件，最后通过仿真验证了所得结论。 关键词： 复杂网络 ；传播率；传播模型；平衡点；稳定性 I Abstract At present, more areas on complex network are being researched, many complicated systems can be described by network. The dynamics on the network can be considered as the system dynamic properties. By studying network structure to understand and explain the system operation, thereby forecast and control network behavior. The spread of the virus in computer networks and the prevalence of infectious disease in the crowd can be viewed as a dynamic behavior on the networks. Studying the dynamics of virus can help us controlling the real virus propagation process. This thesis use complex network theory to describe the real virus propagation process. According to the real virus properties, the transmission rate which linear to the node degree was proposed and a model was created. The stability of the system was studied and the simulations validated the conclusions. In reality, the change of the node propagation speed is not linear to the change of the node degree strictly, the nonlinear transmission rate was proposed according to this feature. It means that when the node degree is relatively small, the transmission rate is linear