downscaling of short-term precipitation from regional climate models for sustainable urban planning缩小规模的短期降水可持续城市规划从区域气候模型.pdfVIP
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downscaling of short-term precipitation from regional climate models for sustainable urban planning缩小规模的短期降水可持续城市规划从区域气候模型
Sustainability 2012, 4, 866-887; doi:10.3390/su4050866
OPEN ACCESS
sustainability
ISSN 2071-1050
/journal/sustainability
Article
Downscaling of Short-Term Precipitation from Regional
Climate Models for Sustainable Urban Planning
Jonas Olsson 1,*, Lars Gidhagen 1, Valentin Gamerith 2, Günter Gruber 2, Holger Hoppe 3 and
4
Peter Kutschera
1 Research Development, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping 60176,
Sweden; E-Mail: lars.gidhagen@smhi.se
2 Institute of Urban Water Management and Landscape Water Engineering, Graz University of
Technology, 8010 Graz, Austria; E-Mails: gamerith@sww.tugraz.at (V.G.);
gruber@sww.tugraz.at (G.G.)
3 Dr. Pecher AG, Klinkerweg 5, 40699 Erkrath, Germany; E-Mail: holger.hoppe@pecher.de
4 Austrian Institute of Technology/DSS, Donau-City-Straße 1, 1220 Vienna, Austria;
E-Mail: peter.kutschera@ait.ac.at
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: jonas.olsson@smhi.se;
Tel.: +46-11-495-8322; Fax: +46-11-495-8001.
Received: 26 March 2012; in revised form: 23 April 2012 / Accepted: 24 April 2012 /
Published: 4 May 2012
Abstract: A framework for downscaling precipitation from RCM projections to the high
resolutions in time and space required in the urban hydrological climate change impact
assessment is outlined and demonstrated. The basic approach is that of Delta Change,
developed for both continuous and event-based applications. In both cases, Delta Change
Factors (DCFs) are calculated which
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