statistics review 13 receiver operating characteristic curves统计评估13接受者操作特征曲线.pdfVIP

Critical Care December 2004 Vol 8 No 6 Bewick et al. Review Statistics review 13: Receiver operating characteristic curves 1 1 2 Viv Bewick , Liz Cheek and Jonathan Ball 1Senior Lecturer, School of Computing, Mathematical and Information Sciences, University of Brighton, Brighton, UK 2Senior Registrar in ICU, Liverpool Hospital, Sydney, Australia Corresponding author: Viv Bewick, v.bewick@brighton.ac.uk Published online: 4 November 2004 Critical Care 2004, 8:508-512 (DOI 10.1186/cc3000) This article is online at /content/8/6/508 © 2004 BioMed Central Ltd Abstract This review introduces some commonly used methods for assessing the performance of a diagnostic test. The sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratio of a test are discussed. The uses of the receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve are explained. Keywords AUROC, negative likelihood ratio, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, positive predictive value, ROC curve, sensitivity, specificity Introduction who survived were correctly identified by this test. Because A simple diagnostic test for a particular disease or outcome both of these measures are simple proportions, their classifies patients into two groups: those with the outcome confidence intervals can be calculated as described in and those without. A test is assessed by its ability to diagnose