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49 12 Vol.49 No.12
2 0 1 3 6 JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING Jun. 2 0 1 3
DOI 10.3901/JME.2013.12.176
*
1 1 2 1
(1. 610031
2. 610031)
Copula
-Copula
Copula
TB114 O213
Comprehensive Reliability Assessment of Long-life Products with
Correlated Multiple Failure Modes
TANG Jiayin1 HE Ping1 LIANG Hongqin2 WANG Qin1
(1. School of Mathematics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031;
2. College of mechanical Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031)
Abstract To solve the problem of updated comprehensive reliability prediction involving correlated multiple failure modes for the
long-life products. The statistical analysis of performance degradation data is studied for the high-reliability and long-life products.
Deterministic time series combined models are used to extract the characteristic information of the distribution of degradation
variables, and according to the differential equation method, the suited methods are given to estimate the dynamic characteristic
parameters of the distribution of degradation variables, also the scalar parameter of correlation among in multiple degradation
variables. Based on the positive correlation among in degradation characteristic variables, it builds the suitable copulas reliability
model to calculate the comprehensive reliability of products which have depen
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