基于gm（1，n）模型的管输油流静电数值预测 the electrostatic numerical prediction in oil pipeline transportation based on gm(1,n)model.pdfVIP

绗?2 鍗风2 鏈 鍚 鍕 宸 绋 瀛 闄 瀛 鎶 Vol. 32 No. 2 2016 骞? 鏈 JOURNAL OF LOGISTICAL ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY Mar. 2016 鏂囩珷缂栧彿锛?672 - 7843锛?016 锛?2 - 0087 - 04 doi 锛?0. 3969/j. issn. 1672 - 7843. 2016. 02. 017 鍩轰簬GM锛?锛孨锛夋ā鍨嬬殑绠¤緭娌规祦闈欑數鏁板€奸娴 鈶犳潹绗戞簮锛岃档鏅撳垰锛岄儹 婀涳紝褰 鏉 锛堝悗鍕ゅ伐绋嬪闄㈠啗浜嬩緵娌瑰伐绋嬬郴锛岄噸搴?01311 锛 鎽 瑕 涓轰簡鍑忓皯娌瑰搧鍦ㄧ閬撹緭閫佽繃绋嬩腑鐨勯潤鐢典簨鏁咃紝闇€瑕佸绠¤矾涓殑闈欑數浜х敓閲忚繘琛屾暟鍊奸娴嬶紝 浠庤€岀‘瀹氬搴旂殑娌瑰搧娴侀€熴€傚缓绔嬬杈撴补娴佷骇鐢熼潤鐢电殑瀹為獙鍙版灦锛屾祴閲忓嚭涓嶅悓娴侀噺鏉′欢涓嬬殑闈欑數浜х敓閲忥紝 骞堕噰鐢℅M锛?锛孨锛夋ā鍨嬪闈欑數浜х敓閲忚繘琛屾暟鍊奸娴嬨€傚皢棰勬祴缁撴灉涓庡疄闄呮祴閲忕粨鏋滆繘琛屾瘮杈冿紝浜岃€呯殑骞冲潎鐩 瀵硅宸负4.36%銆傞娴嬬粨鏋滆〃鏄庯紝搴旂敤GM锛?锛孨锛夋ā鍨嬮娴嬬杈撴补娴侀潤鐢典骇鐢熼噺鐨勬柟娉曢€傚悎鍦ㄥ疄璺典腑鎺ㄥ箍 浣跨敤銆 鍏抽敭璇 绠¤緭娌规祦锛涢潤鐢典骇鐢熼噺锛汫M锛?锛孨锛夋ā鍨 涓浘鍒嗙被鍙凤細X932 锛汿E88 鏂囩尞鏍囧織鐮侊細A TheElectrostaticNumericalPredictioninOilPipelineTransportationBasedonGM 锛?锛孨 锛塎odel Yang Xiao鈦儁uan 锛孼hao Xiao鈦僩ang 锛孏uo Zhan 锛孭eng Yang 锛圖ept. of Petroleum Supply Engineering 锛孡EU 锛孋hongqing 401311 锛孋hina锛 Abstract In order to reduce the static electricity accident in the process of oil pipeline transportation, we need to predict the electrostatic generating capacity in the pipeline, and then determine the corresponding oil flow rate. We established the experimen鈦 tal platform for the electrostatic generating capacity by the pipeline transportation, summed up the electrostatic generating capacity in different flowing conditions, and then predicted the electrostatic generating capacity in the pipeline with the GM 锛?锛孨锛塵odel. Compare the predicted results and the actual measurement results, the average relative error between them is 4.36%. The forecast results show that model to predict the electrostatic generating capacity in the pipeline with the GM 锛?锛孨锛塵odel is applicable in en鈦 gineering practice. Keywords oil pipeline transportation; electro