预测中国2012年gdp增速可维持在8.59%（Chinas GDP growth in 2012 is expected to remain at 8.59%）.docVIP

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预测中国2012年gdp增速可维持在8.59%（Chinas GDP growth in 2012 is expected to remain at 8.59%）.doc

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预测中国2012年gdp增速可维持在8.59%（Chinas GDP growth in 2012 is expected to remain at 8.59%）

预测中国2012年gdp增速可维持在8.59%（Chinas GDP growth in 2012 is expected to remain at 8.59%） Zhongzheng Wang news jointly organized by Xiamen University, National University of Singapore and the economic information daily, the three party Chinese senior macroeconomic seminar CQMM spring 2012 forecast conference held in Beijing in February 25th, Chinese released a Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM) in the spring of 2012 forecasts. The report by the Xiamen University, the National University of Singapore and the economic information daily jointly issued, among them, CQMM is jointly developed by the macroeconomic research center of Xiamen University and the National University of Singapore Li Guangyao School of public policy, social sciences project, Chinas Ministry of education to support the National Social Science Fund project, is one of the trend of Chinese economic mathematical model deduction using China only academic activities. This release will be the twelfth release of the project. The forecast model shows that the uncertainty of the external market will be the main risk for Chinas economy in 2012. The euro zones economic outlook remained bleak in 2012 as the euro zone economy slowed sharply at the end of 2011, coupled with concerns about Greeces ability to pay its debts. The first half of the euro zones economic slowdown is expected to be particularly pronounced, and economic growth in the euro area will recover in the second half. In the context of the continued slow recovery of the US economy, in 2012, especially in the first half of the year, Chinas monetary policy is likely to be adjusted accordingly. Therefore, the research group that in the first three quarters, M2 growth rate from 14% in the first quarter increased to 18%; but after the second half of the euro zone economy stable, M2 growth rate will decline to 16%. The central bank will cut interest rates two times in the two or three quarter of 2012, down 25 basis points each time, reducing the one-year benc