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影响黄金走势的因素(Factors affecting the trend of gold)
影响黄金走势的因素(Factors affecting the trend of gold)
Factors affecting the trend of gold
2012-6-22 13:16:41 source: [font: big, medium, small]
In general, the main factors affecting the gold are the following: 1. dollar index, and gold is inversely proportional to the crude oil prices and gold; 2., is proportional to the international situation; 3., gone gold, tensions, gold prices soared.
Before 1970s, the price of gold was basically decided by governments or central banks, and the price of gold in the world was relatively stable. In early 70s, the price of gold is no longer directly linked to the dollar, the price of gold market gradually, factors affecting the changes in the price of gold is increasing. So what is the impact of change radically near section time gold? Specifically, can be divided into the following aspects:
1. Supply factors:
The supply side mainly has:
(1) the gold stock on the ground;
There are about 137 thousand and 400 tons of gold all over the world, while the stock of gold on the ground is still growing at about 2% a year.
(2) annual supply and demand
The annual supply and demand of gold is about 4200 tons, and the annual output of gold accounts for 62% of the total annual supply.
(3) the cost of new gold mining;
The average total cost of gold mining is slightly less than $260 / ounce. The cost of gold development has continued to decline over the past 20 years due to the development of mining technology.
(4) political, military and economic changes in the gold producing countries;
Any political or military instability in these countries will undoubtedly directly affect the quantity of gold produced in the country, thereby affecting the worlds gold supply.
(5) the central banks gold sell-off
The central bank is the largest holder of gold in the world, in 1969 the official gold reserves of 36458 tons, accounting for 42.6% of the total stock of gold was all the surface, and by 1998 the official gold reserves of about 34000 tons, accounting for all
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