信阳冬小麦白粉病发生发展气象预报模型.pdfVIP

江西农业学报2008，20(9)：87-89 Acta Jiangxi Agricdturae 信阳冬小麦自粉病发生发展气象预报模型 赵豫1，易亮2如，马振丹3’4 《i。嚣瘫笞蠢城蒸气象嚣，海南褰皱465350；2。麓j￡省藏汉露气象曷，潮魏武汉430040； 3．南京信息誓校大学，江苏南京210044；4．河南省气象墙训中心，河南郑州450003) 摘要：分析了河南省信阳市冬小麦白粉病症状及季节流行进程，探讨了其发病规律与气象环境的关系，揭示了信阳市 冬小麦区白粉病发病原霞，应慝相关分析彝逐步回归方潦，建立了小麦白粉病发生面积、秀始发病时阖、危害程度等级、危害 持续簿阖等4种气象预援摸壁，旁提交了对鸯耪病戆综含转治对慕。 关键词：冬小嶷；由粉病；气象环境；预报模型；防治 中图分类号：S165．28文献标识弼：A文章编号：11301-8581(2008)09-0087—03 WeatherForecastModelforOccurrenceof Mildewon WinterWheat Powdery Xinyang ZHAO Yul，YI瓤耐扣，MAZhea一$k霉一 Bureau Bu玛腿ofWuhan (1．Weather0fShangchengCounty，Shangehen9465350，China；2．Weather ofInformationScienceand CenterinHenan na；3．NanjingUniversity Technology，Nanjing210044。China；4．Meteorological Training Province，Zhen弘hou450003，China) andseasonal situationof mildewOn winterwheatwere rela- Abstract：1ksymptoms prevalence powdery Xinyang daborated，the tionsbetween mildew ruleandthe conditionwere reasonof mildew powderymorbidity meteorological discussed，themorbidity powdery in weatherforecastmodelsforthe and winterwheat蝴硼reviewed。The Xinyang ol∞ll】譬唆1ee蚴，startingtirae，damagedegree durationofwheat mildewWeieestablishedthe thecontrolcountermeasuresfor damage powdery using method，and stepwiseregression mildewwere powdery proposed． collIlte玎卫eas眦 Keywords：Winterwheat；Powderymildew；Weatherconditions；Forecastingmodel；Contr