Oil Crisis, Market Reforms, and Human Welfare: An Econometric Analysis of the Australian Economy.pdfVIP
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- 2017-11-27 发布于福建
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JournalofModem AccountingandAuditing,ISSN 1548-6583
December2013,Vo1.9,No.12,1655—1670
aLl墨 HlN售
OilCrisis,MarketReforms,andH
E
XinZheng
TheUniversityofSydney,Sydney,Australia
Asanactivetraderininternationalcrudeoilandpetroleumproductmarkets,Australia’shumanwelfraeisaffectedby
oilcrisisand contagion from theperspectivesofeconomicgrowth,incomeinequaliyt,and environmental
sustainabiliyt.ThispaperinvestigatestheimpactsofoilpriceshocksuponAustralia’sgrossdomesticproduct(GDP)
grOwth.Ginicoefficients,and crabondioxideemissionspercapitafrom 1970to2012withyearly ~equency-
HvpothesesconcemingwhetherAustralia’seconomicimmuniyt againstoilcrisisisaffectedafterthederegulationof
oilmarketandwhetherendogenousoilpriceshocksaccountformorevraiationsinhumanwelfarethanexogenousoil
Driceshocksaretested.Themethodologiesincludeatheoreticmodelandaseriesofeconometrictests·Forthe
short.rundynarctics oilpriceisintegrated into themodelbothlineraly andnonl‘inearly.Oilpriceshocksare
categorized into exogenousandendogenousshocks.Theconclusionsarethatinflated oilpricesexertmainly
non-linearnegativeimpactsupon human welfraeindicatorsand exogenousshocksinduceendogenoussh00k
tIlroughlaborprice,ConsumerPriceIndex(CPI),interestrate,nadexchnagerate.Forthelong。runequilibrum,
non.1inearshocks’effectsdecaymoreslowlythna linera shocksandtheimpactsofendogenousshockslastlonger
thanthatofexogenousshocks.Finally,oilmraketpoliciesareevaluatedna dproposed·
。rdsendogenousoilpriceshocks,exogenousoilpriceshocks,grossdomesticproduct(GDP)growth,Gini
coefficients,crabondioxideemissionspercapita,mraketreforms
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