基于实时运行状态的电力系统运行可靠性评价-中国科技论文在线.pdfVIP

基于实时运行状态的电力系统运行可靠性评价-中国科技论文在线.pdf

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基于实时运行状态的电力系统运行可靠性评价-中国科技论文在线

中国科技论文在线 29 15 Vol. 29 No. 15 2005 8 Power System Technology Aug. 2005 100015-0006-07 TM732 A 470⋅4054 100084 POWER SYSTEM OPERATING RELIABILITY EVALUATION BASED ON REAL-TIME OPERATING STATE SUN Yuan-zhangCHENG LinLIU Hai-tao State Key Laboratory of Power Systems Department of Electrical EngineeringTsinghua University Haidian DistrictBeijing 100084China ABSTRACT: To evaluate the secure reliability level of power 1 system under real-time operating state, the concept of operating reliability and its evaluation algorithm are proposed. In this algorithm the impact of such real-time operating conditions as power flow, busbar voltage and system frequency on failure probability of components are analyzed, the reliability model of components based on real-time operating conditions is built up and the impact of real-time operating conditions such as operation modes of generating sets, real-time variation of loads, variation of network topology etc., on fault analysis is considered. By use of the proposed algorithm the reliability evaluation of a certain simple power system under different operating states is 1969 conducted. The results show that real-time operating conditions R.Billinton [1] greatly impact the reliability level of power system, and the proposed algorithm can truthfully

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