机场安全可拓预警模型研究.pdfVIP

238 ， （ ） 计算机工程与应用 2009 45 14 Computer Engineering and Applications 机场安全可拓预警模型研究 李 航，赵桂红 ， LI Hang ZHAO Gui-hong 中国民航大学经济与管理学院，天津 300300 ， ， ， School of Economic and Management Civil Aviation University of China Tianjin 300300 China ： E-mail lh197861@ ， LI Hang ZHAO Gui-hong.Early-warning model of airport safety based on extension theory.Computer Engineering and ， ， （）： Applications 2009 45 14 238-240. Abstract ：A dynamic model based on variable matter element with parameters is applied to construct the early-warning model of ， airport safety.In this model the early-warning indices system is conducted on the base of the survey.The weight of early-warning ， indices is ascertained with the method of correlation function in extension theory and the comprehensive correlative degree is tak－ ， en as the evaluation criteria.At last the unitary early-warning grade of the airport is derived with the early-warning model.A case ， study shows that the model is suitable for evaluation of the airport safety and for assisting early-warning decision quantitatively. ： ； ； ； ； Key words airport safety early-warning model extension theory comprehensive correlative degree correlation function in exten－ sion theory 摘 要：运用可拓理论中基于参变量物元的动态评价模型，对机场安全预警模型进行了构建。首先根据调研建立了机场安全的预 警评价指标体系，然后利用可拓关联函数方法确定各预警指标的权重，以综合关联度作为评价准则，最终根据模型确定出整体的 预警等级，避免了预警模型的主观性。实例验证表明，该模型可针对机场安全状况提供有效的定量预警信息。 关键词：机场安全；预警模型；可拓理论；综合关联度；可拓关联函数 ：