浅析丙烯酸丁酯下游的现状及发展.doc

浅析丙烯酸丁酯下游的现状及发展 摘要：国内丙烯酸和丙烯酸丁酯市场延续跌势。自6月份以来国内丙烯酸丁酯跌至成本线下，国内工厂亏损严重，部分装置降低负荷或停车应对亏损，本月兰化、台塑、宏信、万州等装置停车应对，而其丙烯酸装置均运行正常，在此影响下国内工厂丙烯酸整体供应充足。虽上旬行业会议召开然难掩市场颓势，市场跌势难抑。本月国内工厂对外报盘走低，市场人士观望气氛浓厚，市场商谈重心下行为主，市场低价增多。国内经济增速放缓，下游终端用户需求难有实质性改善，开工负荷未有提升，需求低迷制约下去库存过程缓慢，丙烯酸及酯市场供需矛盾突出，市场弱势维持。 目前部分工厂降负荷甚至停车现象增多，而丙烯酸及酯市场供需矛盾相对突出，短期内弱势难改。而近期宏观面利空因素作用，化工大市场整体表现弱势。再加上进入11月天气转冷，传统的需求淡季影响或将加重，下游需求难有实质性改善，市场疲弱走势或将延续。 本文通过对丙烯酸丁酯下游的基本信息和市场行情进行分析，找到市场的必然趋势，以此规避波动的市场所带来的负面影响，正确应对市场带来的挑战，使企业和工厂都能得到双赢。 关键字：丙烯酸丁酯；下游；市场；现状；发展 Analyses the present situation and development of downstream of butyl acrylate Abstract：Domestic market continued drop acrylic acid and butyl acrylate. Since June domestic butyl acrylate fell to offline cost, loss serious domestic factories, part of the lower load or parking against losses, this month LanHua, Formosa plastics, such as macro letter, wanzhou parking device, and the normal operation of acrylic device are, in the acrylic overall supply under the influence of factories at home. Though early industry conference cannot hide market weakness, market trend. This month domestic factories offer lower, markets wait-and-see atmosphere, the market about the center of gravity downward is given priority to, the market price increase. Domestic economic growth is slowing, the downstream end users to demand a substantial improvement, construction load did not ascend, depressed demand restriction on inventory process is slow, acrylic acid and ester market the obvious contradiction between supply and demand, market vulnerable to maintain. Now part of the plant load increase, even parking and acrylic acid and ester market relatively prominent contradiction between supply and demand, weak hard to change in the short term. The recent negative effect, the macroscopic level of overall performance market weakness. Plus into the cold weather in November, the demand of the traditional off-season impact or will increase, the downstream demand is difficult to have a substantial improvement,