基于分解模型的全过程节能减排定量评价方法及应用.PDFVIP

中国环境科学 2010,30(6) ：852~857 China Environmental Science 基于分解模型的全过程节能减排定量评价方法及应用 但智钢 1*,段 宁 1,郭玉文 2,李旭华 1 (1.中国环境科学研究院环境保护部清洁生产中心,北京 100012 ；2. 中国 环境科学研究院国家环境保护生态工业重点实验室,北京 100012) 摘要：依据因子分解模型的分析结果,建立了全过程节能减排控制节能指数和减排指数定量化计算方法,提出全过程控制指数评价的重要 原则,并对不同国家各因子的节能效果和 SO2 减排作用进行了定量化评价.结果表明,我国 1986~2005 年全过程控制节能指数只有 0.6,低于 发达国家 1973~1990 年的 0.86;我国 1995~2005 年 SO2 减排指数为 0.75,远低于日本 1975~1996 年的 1.07.我国技术进步和末端治理的节能 减排指数偏低,现阶段我国应加强技术进步和末端治理的减排能力建设, 同时注意结构调整,发挥其应有的节能减排效果. 关键词：节能减排；SO2 ；评价方法；分解模型 中图分类号：X24 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1000-6923(2010)06-0852-06 A quantitative evaluation method based decomposition analysis and its application on the life-cycle effect of energy conservation and emission reduction. DAN Zhi-gang1* 1 2 1 , DUAN Ning , GUO Yu-wen , LI Xu-hua (1.Cleaner Production Centre of Ministry of Environmental Protection, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China；2.Ministry of Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Eco-industry Studies, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China). China Environmental Science, 2010,30(6)：852~857 Abstract ：Quantitative methods calculating life-cycle control index (LCCI) in energy conservation and emissions reduction were created by results from decomposition analysis. Evaluating principle of LCCI were also put forward and applied in quantitative evaluation results from each factor contributing to energy-saving and sulfur dioxide emission reduction in different countries. Energy conservation LCCI of China during 1986~2005 was 0.6, lower than the developed countries of 0.86 in 1973~1990, and 0.75 for sulfur dioxide emission reduction LCCI of China during 1995~2005, much lower than Japan’s 1.07 in 1975~1996. The reason was that contribution from