台风暴潮数值推算之研究-成功大学.PDF

27 論 立 94 年 12 Proceedings of the 27th Ocean Engineering Conference in Taiwan, Republic of China National Chung Hsing University, December 2005 颱風暴潮數值推算之研究 1 2 3 1 馮智源 高家俊 邱銘達 吳誌翰 摘要 本文利用 POM 模式，針對台灣海域進行颱風暴潮推算，並分析颱風暴潮的特性。首先針 對前人研究中所提到的四個參數化颱風模型進行測試，測試結果以 Jelesnianski 提出的適用性 最高。由暴潮模式推算實際案例的結果發現，台灣東岸的暴潮成因主要為颱風中心低氣壓引 所成的倒氣壓效應，由風剪應力所引成起的暴潮水位並不大；台灣西北岸一帶的暴潮成因除 了當颱風中心接近時會因倒氣壓效應引起較大的暴潮之外，當颱風中心位於台灣東北方附近 時仍會在台灣的西北沿岸引起不小的暴潮水位，引起此暴潮水位的成因則以風剪應力為主。 Study of the numerical storm surge prediction Abstract In present study, Princeton Ocean Model(POM) is adopted to simulate and analysis the charasteristic of storm surge. We tested four experiment equations which can be used to describe the atmospheric pressue field of typhoon. The results of these tests show that the Jelesnianski’s equations is the best fit. From the numerical deduction result, take the typhoon’s west-moving toward Taiwan as an example, the maximum typhoon storm surge deviation caused by this path is mainly caused by atmospheric pressure, atmospheric effect forms an exponential distribution in space along with distance. When typhoon moves forward along the east coast, the maximum typhoon storm surge deviation caused by this path is mainly induced by wind shear force, wind shear force effect forms an exponentiation distribution in space along with distance.