Temporal and spatial dynamics of mycosphaerella blight…菌落叶枯病的时空动态.pdfVIP

522 Epidemiology / Épidémiologie Temporal and spatial dynamics of mycosphaerella blight [Mycosphaerella pinodes] in field pea J.X. Zhang, W.G.D. Fernando, and A.G. Xue Abstract: The temporal and spatial patterns of epidemics of mycosphaerella blight, [Mycosphaerella pinodes] in field pea in western Canada were characterized during 2000 and 2001, using mathematical models and geostatistical analysis. The logistic model well described the disease progress over distances and in various directions from the inoculum source. The temporal disease progress rates measured by the linear form of the logistic model ranged from 0.187 d–1 for disease progress at the inoculated area to 0.288 d–1 for disease progress at 18 m from the inoculum source, and from 0.136 to 0.265 d–1 in various directions. By the end of the epidemic in both years, the steepest disease gradient was located upwind, in the north to northwest section of the field, while gradients in the east to south section became flatter. The disease gradients ranged from –0.009 m–1 in the downwind direction (south) to –0.183 m–1 in the upwind direction (north). The final disease gradients in the field ranged from –0.043 to –0.050 m–1 . Disease severity declined by 50% within 1.8 to 15 m and by 90% within 7 to 62 m from the inoculum source in the upwind directions. Disease declined by 50% within 16 to 44 m and by 90% within 55 to 222 m in the downwind directions. On the basis of the fin