2012投资信心指数报告.pdfVIP

Cautious Investors Feed a Tentative Recovery The 2012 A.T. Kearney FDI Confidence Index® 1 The 2012 A.T. Kearney FDI Confidence Index® examines future prospects for FDI flows as the world seeks to recover from the global recession and continued economic uncertainty in Europe and the United States. The Index, which first appeared in 1998, assesses the impact of political, economic, and regulatory changes on the FDI intentions and preferences of the leaders of top companies around the world. It’s little surprise, considering the economic turbulence in the developed world, that emerging markets fare well in the rankings. China, India, and Brazil take the top three positions, and Southeast Asia, with its large and growing consumer base, makes a strong showing: Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam all hold high rankings. South Africa, which was unranked in 2010, rebounds to 11th place, while Russia and Turkey make large gains, especially in comparison to neighboring countries in Europe (see figure 1). The United States remains the highest-ranked developed country in the Index, but it falls two spots in the rankings to 4th place. No doubt, the political gridlock on fiscal policy and continued uncertainty about the economic outlook weigh heavily on investor sentiment. For similar reasons, Europe also suffers from poor investor morale. Figure 1 Figure 1 2012 FDI Confidence Index® 2012 FDI Confidence Index® Ranking Values calculated on a 0 to 3 scale 2007 2010 2012 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 1 1 1 China 1.87 2 3 2 India