原子物理学的贝叶斯数据分析工具外文文献.pdfVIP

Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research B 408 (2017) 301–312 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research B journal homepage: www.else /locate/nimb Bayesian data analysis tools for atomic physics Martino Trassinelli ⇑ Institut des NanoSciences de Paris, CNRS, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ Paris 06, F-75005 Paris, France a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: We present an introduction to some concepts of Bayesian data analysis in the context of atomic physics. Received 29 November 2016 Starting from basic rules of probability, we present the Bayes’ theorem and its applications. In particular Received in revised form 13 May 2017 we discuss about how to calculate simple and joint probability distributions and the Bayesian evidence, a Accepted 15 May 2017 model dependent quantity that allows to assign probabilities to different hypotheses from the analysis of Available online 25 May 2017 a same data set. To give some practical examples, these methods are applied to two concrete cases. In the first example, the presence or not of a satellite line in an atomic spectrum is investigated. In the second Keywords: example, we determine the most probable model among a set of possible profiles from the analysis of a Bayesian data analysis statistically poor spectrum. We show also how to calculate the probabil