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3 New Developments in Input-Output Analysis - ResearchGate3新发展投入产出分析研究之门.doc
3 New Developments in Input-Output Analysis
Fields of Influence of Changes, the Temporal Leontief Inverse and the Reconsideration of Classical Key Sector Analysis
Michael Sonis
Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois, USA and Bar Ilan University, Israel
e-mail: sonism@mail.biu.ac.il
Geoffrey J. D. Hewings
Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois, USA
e-mail: hewings@illinois.edu
3.1 Introduction: Coefficient Change in Input-Output Models
In this chapter, a new temporal approach to the classical Leontief input-output analysis is elaborated that avoids the assumption of the constant direct input coefficients. The presentation builds on earlier work (Sonis and Hewings, 1989, 1991, 1992) that examined a variety of issues surrounding error and sensitivity analysis, decomposition and inverse important parameter estimation. These ideas are now brought into a general form as a basis for a more complete, general fields of influence approach that is the main vehicle for describing the overall changes in economic relationships between industries created by combinations of changes in technological coefficients caused by diffusion of technological, organizational and administrative innovations. The most important new concept based of the notion of the direct fields of influence is the multiplier product matrix and the corresponding artificial economic landscape which represents the classical key sector analysis and hierarchies of sectoral backward and forward linkages. The multiplier product matrix is the main part of the fundamental minimal information decomposition of Leontief inverse in the form of the difference between the global presentation of direct effects of the changes in inputs coefficients and the synergetic effects of the overall interaction of the changes. The new Temporal Leontief inverse is constructed such that it can serve as the basis for the temporal analysis of an evolving input-output system; the in
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