中国经济发展与城市建设用地关系实证.pdfVIP

ofAnhui 安徽农业科学，Journal A出．Sci．2014，42(12)：3720—3723 责任编辑徐丽华责任校对李岩 中国经济发展与城市建设用地关系实证 张炳信 (广东农工商职业技术学院，广东广州510507) 摘要利用全国31个省、市、自治区面板数据对经济发展与城市用地之间的关系进行了检验，得到以下主要Wee：①经济发展水平与城 市用地序列均符合一阶单整过程；②经济发展与城市用地之间存在协整关系，协整方程表明人均GDP每增长10％，将拉动城市用地规 果关系，二者的长期均衡关系仅能够调整城市用地的短期失衡，调整力度为33．83％。因此，政府应制定政策激励开发商、企业提高土地 利用效率，严格控制城市增长边界，并对短期失衡进行调控。 关键词经济发展；城市建设用地；面板协整；计量模型 中图分类号S181．4；F301．24文献标识码A 文章编号0517—6611(2014)12—3720—04 on between andUrbanLand An the Economic EmpiricalStudy Relationship Development AIB 510507) ZHANGⅨ哗-xin(GuangdongPolytechnicCollege，Guangzhou，Guangdong urban dataof31 wasused．Theresultsshowed AbstractTotestthe betweeneconomic and relationship developmentland．panel provinces thereexisteda stable betweenlnAGDPandinLAND．r11le thatrealGDP increas- cointegrationequation percapita long—termequilibrium proved Urball elTOrcorrection WSS causeofurbanland 10％wouldcaused land 4．94％．Fromthe model．economic ing expansion developmentgranger fora thereverse wasnot andurbanland were time，but short-term，economicdevelopment expansion expansionlong relationshipproved．In and couldnot theshort．termimbalaneeofe— causesofeachother．The betweeneconomic urbanland granger equilibrium development regulate conomic hadsome effectonshort—termimbalanceofurbanland imbalalicetook wouldbe inhibitory development．it expansion．When place，it 33．83％． by