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T1 ________________ 35780 F1 ________________
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D
2015 Mathematical Contest in Modeling (ICM) Summary
Sheet (Attach a copy of this page to your solution paper.)
Sustainability? Responsibility!
Sustainability is a comprehensive concept to describe a pattern of development without
losing coordination or over consuming resources. Our research is divided into three steps:
assessing and forecasting sustainability, formulating development plan, and involving ex-
ternal factors.
Firstly, an Entropy-GE Matrix is adopted to create a measurement of sustainability and a
state equation constructed from Lanchester’s Equation is employed to forecast trends of
sustainability. We set up a Sustainable Development Indicator system and normalize data
of indicators. Aiming at assessing comprehensive performances, we adopt an Entropy-GE
Matrix to establish concepts of Development Index (DI), Cooperation Index (CI) and a
final score. Based on Lanchester’s Equation, we furthermore construct a state equation to
forecast sustainability. In our result of 10 countries’ rankings on sustainability in 2013,
America occupies the first place with a score 0.161
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