A Research Agenda for International Agricultural Trade 材料.docx

Applied?Economic?Perspectives?and?Policy?(2018)?volume?40,?number?1,?pp.?155–173.doi:10.1093/aepp/ppx063Submitted?ArticleA?Research?Agenda?for?InternationalAgricultural?TradeWill?MartinWill?Martin?is?a?Senior?Research?Fellow?at?the?International?Food?Policy?ResearchInstitute.?Thanks?are?due?to?Marc?Bellemare,?Christophe?Gouel,?and?DonaldMaclaren?for?excellent?comments?on?an?earlier?draft.?All?remaining?errors?are?myresponsibility.?This?work?was?undertaken?as?part?of?the?CGIAR?Research?Programon?Policies,?Institutions,?and?Markets?(PIM)?led?by?the?International?Food?PolicyResearch?Institute?(IFPRI).Correspondence?to?be?sent?to:?W.Martin@.Submitted?15?April?2017;?editorial?decision?29?December?2017.AbstractInternational?trade?is?likely?to?be?a?hugely?important?and?interestingarea?for?research?by?agricultural?and?applied?economists?in?the?next?decade.?Whilethe?questions?for?research?are?likely?to?change—with?less?emphasis?on?large-scaleinternational?negotiations?and?more?on?national?reforms?and?regional?agreements—there?will?be?important?challenges?in?understanding?the?driving?forces?for?world?ag-ricultural?markets,?in?trade?policy,?and?in?ensuring?food?security.?New?analyticaltechniques?built?on?the?gravity?model?and?geospatial?production?data?create?manyopportunities?for?innovative?applications?and?expand?the?range?of?questions?towhich?researchers?in?this??eld?can?effectively?respond.Key?words:international?trade,?food?trade,?food?policy,?gravity?model.V?The?Author(s)?2018.?Published?by?Oxford?University?Press?on?behalf?of?the?Agricultural?and?AppliedJEL?codes:F13,?F63,?Q17,?Q18.The?case?for?international?trade?is?essentially?the?same?as?that?for?trade?innon-agricultural?products,?with?participation?in?markets?allowing?producersto?specialize?and?to?take?advantage?of?differences?in?resource?endowmentsand?skills,?and?consumers?to?benefit?from?a?wider?range?of?products.?As?wewill?see,?the?relevant?differences?in?agricultural?factor?endowments?betweencountries?are?freque