气候年际变化对牧草生物量的影响ImpactofCConpastureand.PPT

气候变化对草地畜牧业的影响 中国农业大学 潘学标 提纲 Outline 1 气候变化对北方草地畜牧业地区边界有影响 Impacts of Climate change (CC) on regional border of grassland and pasture husbandry 2 气候年际变化牧草生物量的影响 CC on grass biomass 3 气候对牧草物候期的影响与动态模拟 CC on pasture and grass phenological period 4 基于SPACSYS模型的牧草生育模拟与情景分析 CC on feed crop development and growth with SPACSYS model 5 结论 Conclusion 1气候变化对北方草地畜牧业地区边界有影响 Impacts of Climate change (CC) on regional border of grassland and pasture husbandry  2 气候年际变化对牧草生物量的影响 Impact of CC on pasture and grass biomass 3 气候对牧草物候期的影响与动态模拟 Impacts of CC on phenological period of grass and its simulation 额尔古纳羊草和贝加尔针茅的返青期和枯黄期的相关性 correlation of the period of seedling establishment and the brown period in two species (China Leymus and Needlegrass) 巴雅尔吐胡硕地区羊草、冰草和萎陵菜1995-2007年返青期和枯黄期的变化趋势 Change of the period of seedling establishment and the brown period from 1995 to 2007 in three grass species 察右后旗羊草和克氏针茅的物候期变化趋势 Change of the phenological period in two grass species 镶黄旗冰草返青期与温度、开花期与和降水的相关关系 correlation of the period of seedling establishment and temperature in spring (a); correlation of the period of flowering and precipitation (b) of Wheatgrass at Xianghuang Qi 冷蒿、糙隐子草和芦苇物候期与气候因子相关性分析 Correlation analysis of climatic factor and phenological period in three grass species 建立天然草地模型,可分别对羊草,针茅进行模拟Development Grass simulation model To simulate development of Leymus and needlgrass et al 牧草物候阶段划分及其形态指标 Phenological stage index system 天然牧草物候期基本模型Phenological period model 温度和光照对发育的影响Impact of temperature and light on grass development 模型的参数 Parameters 牧草不同物候阶段的温光指标范围 Range of index value for each phenological period 模型参数调试 Modelling test 不同牧草各物候阶段的模型参数及参数调试结果统计检验 牧草物候模型验证 Validation of Phenological period simulation 察右后旗和鄂温克旗针茅返青期模拟值与实测值的比较 Comparison of simulated phenological period and measured phenological period 呼伦贝尔牧业试验站羊草产量变化(gm-2)Change of Chinese wildrye? production in Hulunber trial station 呼伦贝尔牧业试验站牧草总产量变化(gm-2) C