大用户负荷调控潜力及价值评价研究-中国电机工程学报.PDF

第37 卷 第23 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.37 No.23 Dec. 5, 2017 2017 年12 月5 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2017 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 6791 DOI ：10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.162638 文章编号：0258-8013 (2017) 23-6791-10 中图分类号：TM 714 大用户负荷调控潜力及价值评估研究 1 1 2 2 徐青山 ，丁一帆 ，颜庆国 ，郑爱霞 (1．东南大学电气工程学院，江苏省 南京市 210096 ；2．国网江苏省电力公司，江苏省 南京市 210024) Research on Evaluation of Scheduling Potentials and Values on Large Consumers 1 1 2 2 XU Qingshan , DING Yifan , YAN Qingguo , ZHENG Aixia (1. School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, Jiangsu Province, China; 2. State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company, Nanjing 210024, Jiangsu Province, China) ABSTRACT: As an effective means in the initial stage of 0 引言 electric market, the direct or indirect load scheduling is able to 随着经济结构的逐步调整，全社会用电量持续 shift the peak load effectually. Considering various methods of 攀升，虽然电力建设高速发展，但局部性、季节性 policy-driven demand response, the load potential index system was put forward. It combined both characteristic and static 的缺电问题依然存在[1-2] 。同时，为了推动能源结构 attributes of consumers. An improved approach, based on the 转型和实现节能减排，风电、光伏等新能源发电比 grey target and prospect theory, was proposed to quantify 重快速上升，使得发电侧资源的调峰能力明显不 consumers’ abilities. The initial decision matrix was dealt with 足，严重影响电力系统的安全稳定运行[3-5] 。 by the grey target theory, while the scheduling potential was 为了应对日益严峻的供需不平衡问题，需求侧 quantified by the prospect theory. The fuzzy evaluation method