15 寡头垄断.pptVIP

A Payoff Matrix The Prisoners’ Dilemma How Repeated Interaction Can Support Collusion The Kinked Demand Curve The Ups and Downs of the Oil Cartel Many industries are oligopolies: there are only a few sellers. In particular, a duopoly has only two sellers. Oligopolies exist for more or less the same reasons that monopolies exist, but in weaker form. They are characterized by imperfect competition: firms compete but possess market power. Predicting the behavior of oligopolists poses something of a puzzle. The firms in an oligopoly could maximize their combined profits by acting as a cartel, setting output levels for each firm as if they were a single monopolist; to the extent that firms manage to do this, they engage in collusion. But each individual firm has an incentive to produce more than it would in such an arrangement—to engage in noncooperative behavior. The situation of interdependence, in which each firm’s profit depends noticeably on what other firms do, is the subject of game theory. In the case of a game with two players, the payoff of each player depends both on its own actions and on the actions of the other; this interdependence can be represented as a payoff matrix. Depending on the structure of payoffs in the payoff matrix, a player may have a dominant strategy—an action that is always the best regardless of the other player’s actions. Duopolists face a particular type of game known as a prisoners’ dilemma; if each acts independently in its own interest, the resulting Nash equilibrium or Noncooperative equilibrium will be bad for both. However, firms that expect to play a game repeatedly tend to engage in strategic behavior, trying to influence each other’s future actions. A particular strategy that seems to work well in such situations is tit for tat, which often leads to tacit collusion. The kinked demand curve illustrates how an oligopolist that faces unique changes in its marginal cost within a certain range may choose not to adjust its output