franktoney博士讲义（英文）.pptVIP

Module 5: Estimating RiskGeneric Risk Evaluation Matrix Notes for UMT 5 * Module 5: Estimating RiskOther Sources of Risk Identification WBS: Still an an important tool Staffing plan: any potential people risks? Procurement management plan: opportunities or risks related to vendors? Notes for UMT 5 * Module 5: Estimating Risk EMV: Most Popular Quantitative Tools for Risk Analysis (PMBOK p139) Statistical independence: Used for EMV and decision trees. Tossing a coin. Events are independent of each other. Expected monetary value: Impacted by risk proneness or risk aversiveness Amount Value Probability Of Winning EMV $50 .01 $.50 $2 .10 $.20 0 .89 $.00 Total 1.00 $.70 Notes for UMT 5 * Module 6: The Work Breakdown Structure Project Scheduling BasicsObjectives Work breakdown structure – details of construction and benefits WBS as basis for costing WBS as basis for scheduling Scheduling basics Notes for UMT 2 * Module 6: The Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure defines the Scope of the Project We love the WBS Heart of the project planning and definition effort. Technique for breaking down the project into its component elements. Not mandatory but important No hard or fast rules about putting it together. Not a a scheduling tool Does not show dependencies Notes for UMT 2 * Module 6: The Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure Benefits Shows the project visually Builds the team Focuses on deliverables Forces planning and methodology Identifies work packages and groups of activities Serves as the basis for scheduling, cost, spec details, performance measurement, metrics. Notes for UMT 2 * Module 6: Project Scheduling Estimating Considerations: How Long is Time? Working time or work days Productive time Elapsed time Productivity level Continuous duration Duration interruptible Notes for UMT 39 * Module 6: Project Scheduling Schedule Supporting Detail Responsibility assignment matrix. Activities and whose is responsible. Resource sprea