不确定性条件下的决策.pptVIP

* * * * * * * 奖金 * * Speaker’s Notes: “In this next section we will demonstrate many of the principles of good decision-making when faced with uncertainty. We will also demonstrate several principles of decision analysis, which we will use to determine the best decision.” “This demonstration looks a lot like a game. It is a game—a real game, and we’ll have fun with it. But while we are playing the game, I would like to you imagine a decision-making situation that you or your company faces frequently, which have some of the same elements of uncertainty and consequence.” What you will need f