概率与统计英文chapter probability.ppt

107. Our engineers ,A,B,C, and D, have been scheduled for job interviews at 10 a.m. on Friday, January 13, at Random Sampling, Inc. The personnel manager has scheduled the four for interview rooms 1,2,3, and 4, respectively. However, the manager’s secretary does not know this , so assigns them to the four rooms in a completely random fashion (what else!) . What is the probability that All four end up in the correct rooms? None of the four ends up in the correct room? * 108. A particular airline has 10 a.m. flights from Chicago to New York, Atlanta, and Los Angeles. Let A denote the event that the New York flight is full and define events B and C and analogously for the other two flight. Suppose P(A)=.6,P(B)=.5, P?=.4, and the three events are independent. What is the probability that All three flights are full? That at least one flight is not full? Only the New York flight is full? That exactly one of the three flights is full? * * * Example2.15: In digit communication, on account of random factors, the signal received would not be the same signal send out. If the digits send out are ‘0’ and ‘1’, then the receiving digits will ‘0’, ‘1’, and ‘*’. if ‘0’ would be send out by probability 0.6, then the probability of receiving ‘0’, ‘1’, ‘*’are 0.8, 0.05,0.15, if ‘1’would send out by probability 0.4, then the probability of receiving ‘0’, ‘1’, ‘*’are 0.9, 0.05,0.05. If now we have received signal ‘*’, what are the probability of original send signal ‘0’, and ‘1’. * send 0 0 1 0.8 0.05 0.15 receive 1 0 1 0.05 0.9 0.05 send receive * * receive send 0 0 1 0.8 0.05 0.15 * send receive 1 0 1 0.05 0.9 0.05 * Exercise P83 50 59 Solution: A={send ‘0’}, A={send ‘1’}, B={receive ‘*’} We asked to determine P(A|B), P(A|B) * Exercise There are two boxes loading same products. The first box loads 50 products, including 10 first grade products. The second box loads 30 products, including 18 first grade products. Now select one box, and select two times from this box, eac