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中国走向发达经济的关键转折(A critical turning point for Chinas advanced economy).doc
中国走向发达经济的关键转折(A critical turning point for Chinas advanced economy)
Employment, to some extent, is the foundation of peoples livelihood.
If we say that the shortage of migrant workers in 2004 to make people worry whether Chinese into the labor shortage era, so in 2008 China of small and medium-sized enterprises operating difficulties and even the collapse of a large area, the people on the unemployment rate is rising doubts.
Behind such a rapid reversal is the appearance of the short term phenomenon of the economic cycle and the long-term factors of demographic change.
Will Chinas current economic slowdown affect the trend of a gradual shortage of labor force? Has the Lewis inflection point really arrived? Will labour intensive enterprises, which face the transition of economic structure, cause employment to be squeezed?
Cai Fang, director of the Institute of population and labor economics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, sees the arrival of Lewiss inflection point (from an unlimited supply to a shortage), which means that China is beginning to move towards a modern economy. The situation of the unlimited supply of labor in China has passed and gradually shifted to balance. At this point, it is also a good time to improve the wages of workers and protect the rights and interests of workers. And the emergence of labor shortages and rising wages of workers will eventually drive entrepreneurs to choose industrial restructuring. In this process, the market and enterprises will be the decisive factor, and the government should never be the leading factor.
Over the past 30 years, China has become a world factory by virtue of its cheap and adequate labor force. Chinas demographic dividend is nearing its end, with the economy in front of the economy and the backwardness of per capita wealth. Not getting rich before age has become a concern. But Cai Fang believes that Chinas labor advantage in the short term will not disappear, and the existence of the two demograp
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