The “sense” or “nonsense” of biofuels“感”或“胡说”物燃料.pptVIP

New biofuels the solution?  End of Oil Reserves (but biofuels poor substitute)  Security of Supply (but biofuels poor solution)  Climate change (but biofuels poor palliative) New biofuels the solution? End of Oil Reserves In 2007 greater reserves than in 1965 40 + 60 + 100 yrs → “Yamani was right” The peak oil theory between 2021 and 2112 more probable between 2030 and 2075 In fact 40 = “infinity” End of “cheap–oil” era EU need to be in control New biofuels the solution? Security of supply  New biofuels the solution? 3rd main argument for biofuels: climate Biofuels ineffective solution Climate debate provides Emotional context Political reality Business opportunity !! First two other arguments New biofuels the solution? Two subsidiary arguments “Transport sector has to do its share” “It is good for Agricultural employment” Not very convincing but we are stuck with it! 2% increasing to 5,75% Ambition 10% in 2020 Biofuels maintain inefficiencies of current transport system New biofuels the solution? Climate Combustion of biomass = 5 * more efficient Rapeseed oil, palm oil and sugar only lead to marginal CO2 reduction because the rest of the plant is burned to make electricity From climate viewpoint Biofuels only marginal help Destruction of Rainforest is deathblow to climate (James Lovelock) New biofuels the solution? Political reality, yet serious concerns Moral Climate Environment Biodiversity Logistics Product quality Economy Lisbon accord New biofuels the solution? Morality of biofuels 18 million people die each year from malnutrition Food requirements increase by 50 % till 2020 Biofuel demand increases food prices ? Is turning food into fuel a moral proposition’? ? Is “our” car more important than “their” food ? New biofuels the solution? New biofuels the solution? Environment Rapeseed cultivation ? 100% increase acidification(Senter Novem) Biofuel cultivation leads to Deforestation Higher emissions of green