Nova Scotia Adaptation Issues新斯科舍的适应问题.pptVIP

Coastal Impacts and Adaptation Issues Gary Lines Climate Change Meteorologist Meteorological Service of Canada Atlantic PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE CHANGES IN CLIMATE Very likely that hot extremes, heat waves, and heavy precipitation events will continue to become more frequent Likely that future tropical cyclones will become more intense, with larger peak wind speeds and more heavy precipitation less confidence in total numbers Extra-tropical storm tracks projected to move poleward with consequent changes in wind, precipitation, and temperature patterns Impacts on Wetland Migration Relationship of Human Caused Greenhouse Gas Emissions to Climate Change Impacts Vulnerability in 2100, A2 scenario, with and without explicit climate change mitigation (550 ppm stabilization) and enhanced adaptive capacity (Yohe, 2006) Adaptation Strategies Protection Erosion Protection Devices Accommodation Redesign structures (e.g. raising homes) Implement zoning Dune rehabilitation Wetland renewal Retreat Relocate Hybrid Combination of one or more Assessment of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Responses Decision making considerations: Impact assessment Quantify the cost of climate change impacts Adaptation Options Evaluate the costs of the options Evaluate the effectiveness and feasibility of options Consult with stakeholders Complete an analysis of the benefits and costs of each adaptation option Benefits are the avoided damages Costs are the full realm of costs associated with implementing each adaptation option. Use a tool to compare and decide the most effective and efficient adaptation option to implement Stephen Schneider (Stanford University) Dont be poor in a hot country, dont live in hurricane alley, watch out about being on the coasts or in the Arctic, and its a bad idea to be on high mountains with glaciers melting. ? (Associated Press, 07/04/08) Migration of Species Projected Global Sea Level Rise to 2100 Source: Summary for Policy Makers, WG I Report, Intergove