港口与城市经济发展的关系研究以天津为例.docVIP

PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 35 PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT I摘 要二战以来，经济全球化趋势不断加强，全球范围内的贸易往来也成为了世界级经济发展的一个重要推动力。港口城市作为贸易开展的重要节点，其发展具有很强的带动作用。本文在前人对港口城市发展研究的基础上，从促进生产力的合理布局、促进资源的有效配置、促进产业结构的优化三个方面论证了港口对城市发展的带动作用，并从城市的产业结构、产业规模、经济开放性三个方面论证了城市对港口发展的推动作用，同时通过建立计量回归模型和格兰杰因果关系检验模型对港口与城市经济发展之间的关系进行实证研究，论证了港口发展与城市发展间存在着显著的相关关系和格兰杰因果关系。关键字: 港城发展；回归分析；格兰杰因果检验AbstractSince the World War II, globalization is more and more clear, and the worldwide trade has become an important driving force of the world`s economic development. The port cities, as important trade joints, play a strong leading role. On the basis of previous studies, this paper means to prove importance of port for city development. This paper elaborates from three aspects: improvement the rational distribution of productivity, promotion the effective allocation of resources and optimization of industrial structure. Additionally it explains the city`s pushing force from the three aspects below: the citys industrial structure, industry size and economic openness. At the same time, it proves that there is a significant correlation and Granger causality through the regression model and Granger causality test model on the port and city economic development.Keywords: The development of port-city; Regression; Granger causality目 录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \z \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285018 一、引言 PAGEREF _Toc261285018 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285019 二、文献综述 PAGEREF _Toc261285019 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285020 三、港口与城市经济发展的关联机制 PAGEREF _Toc261285020 \h 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285021 （一）港口对城市经济发展的带动作用 PAGEREF _Toc261285021 \h 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285022 1．促进生产力的合理布局 PAGEREF _Toc261285022 \h 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285023 2．促进资源的有效配置 PAGEREF _Toc261285023 \h 4 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285024 3．促进产业结构的优化 PAGEREF _Toc261285024 \h 5 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285025 （二）城市发展对港口发展的推动作用 PAGEREF _Toc261285025 \h 6 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285026 1．政策优势 PAGEREF _Toc261285026 \h 7 HYPERLINK \l _Toc261285027 2．产业结构、规模及经济开放性 PAGEREF _Toc261285027 \h 7 HYPERLINK \l _Toc